You raise a relevant point about gauging the current situation. It is a little tricky whenever that kind of question is asked on this forum. Not every incident gets reported or circulated. It would be great to get some regular feedback from hikers that have been there, who can report on things even if there were not any problems.
I try to keep the status of passes updated on
this page. It is based largely on my own observations, or from feedback from other hikers.
We are looking at ways of logging reports, sightings, incidents and appreciate any ideas and feedback.
I generally try chat to the staff on the ground when I'm in the Berg to see if they have anything new to report. I recommend you do the same.
I have not heard of any problems since the rock attack in Bannerman Pass reported by Thomas Abbott in May this year (
click here to view it). This is the second time I have ever heard of this kind of thing. It is very disturbing but does not seem to be a regular occurrence.
Your intended route is best done as a day hike, as you are planning to do, and I do not anticipate that you will have problems. I would not recommend this route as an overnight hike. Bannerman Cave would naturally be the perfect overnight spot, but its probably the most dangerous Berg cave to sleep in. Of course, hiking alone is highly risky in this area, even during the day.
The Grand Traverse race held this last week did not see any problems with the Basothos. Two ladies passed through the area without problems and another descended Bannerman Pass on her own after her partner aborted further back.
I think that there are still relatively few shepherds and smugglers around at this time of year, but this will start changing rapidly now. For this reason I try as much as possible to only visit the Giants Castle escarpment in the winter and spring.
I have a few incident reports on the area from some time ago which should actually be listed somewhere to get all the facts out. I will start a new thread to list these and it would be great if we could all add to it and keep it updated.
I hope you enjoy your hike and do let us know how it went!