Snow Watch 2021
11 Feb 2021 09:32 - 24 Nov 2021 07:16 #76500
by JonWells
Snow Watch 2021 was created by JonWells
This is the official thread for Snow Watch 2018. Feel free to post pictures, information, questions and reports about the snow conditions in the Drakensberg for 2018. The idea is to keep track of the snowfalls, pool information about where the snow is for those that want to go see it, and simply to have a place to express the joy and experiences you may have had if you have witnessed the grandeur of the Dragon clothed in white. This also serves as a historical reference for years to come.
Historical Snow Watch threads:
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2019
2020
1) 26 March - Reports of light snow at Letseng Mine
2) 23 April - Isolated light snowfall on high peaks across the range
3) 30 April - Widespread light to medium snow across the whole range, above 2500m
4) 7 May - Light snowfall in the Afriski region
5) 1 June - Good snowfall across the entire range. Parts of the Southern Berg received heavy snow that lasted many weeks.
6) 13 August - Light to medium snowfall across the whole range.
7) 28 August - Light snow across whole range, as well as parts of the midlands. Snow fell as low as 650m.
8) 7 August - Light to medium snowfall across parts of the Eastern Cape Highlands and across the whole Southern Berg escarpment, with light snow down to 1600m.
9) 17 September - Light snow on the peaks of the Southern Berg
10) 1 October - Light snow reported on the Northern Berg escarpment
11) 23 November - Light snow on the high ground near Afriski
Historical Snow Watch threads:
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2019
2020
1) 26 March - Reports of light snow at Letseng Mine
2) 23 April - Isolated light snowfall on high peaks across the range
3) 30 April - Widespread light to medium snow across the whole range, above 2500m
4) 7 May - Light snowfall in the Afriski region
5) 1 June - Good snowfall across the entire range. Parts of the Southern Berg received heavy snow that lasted many weeks.
6) 13 August - Light to medium snowfall across the whole range.
7) 28 August - Light snow across whole range, as well as parts of the midlands. Snow fell as low as 650m.
8) 7 August - Light to medium snowfall across parts of the Eastern Cape Highlands and across the whole Southern Berg escarpment, with light snow down to 1600m.
9) 17 September - Light snow on the peaks of the Southern Berg
10) 1 October - Light snow reported on the Northern Berg escarpment
11) 23 November - Light snow on the high ground near Afriski
Last edit: 24 Nov 2021 07:16 by JonWells.
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11 Feb 2021 09:46 #76501
by JonWells
Replied by JonWells on topic Snow Watch 2021
Well, we have had 2 absolutely shocking snow years in a row now. Although the number of falls in 2019/2020 were normal, virtually all of them appeared to be extremely light, most of them only slight dustings. Lets hope things turn around in 2021!
The following user(s) said Thank You: ASL-Bivak#
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11 Feb 2021 20:16 #76502
by Papa Dragon
Replied by Papa Dragon on topic Snow Watch 2021
Old folks wisdom was wet summer, cold winter with plenty snow, let's see how it pans out..
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15 Feb 2021 22:43 #76511
by stefangrab
Replied by stefangrab on topic Snow Watch 2021
If you base it on science, the chances are about 70% for some good snow this winter. A moister atmosphere as we have had this summer improves those chances but it really depends on moisture supply for a decent dump when the cold season sets in.
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16 Feb 2021 17:36 #76518
by ASL-Bivak#
Replied by ASL-Bivak# on topic Snow Watch 2021
yes please, yes please, yes please, yes please, yes please, yes please, yes please, yes please, yes please!
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16 Feb 2021 17:37 #76519
by ASL-Bivak#
Replied by ASL-Bivak# on topic Snow Watch 2021
sorry, it's been a few years since I got a snow hike in..
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17 Feb 2021 22:12 - 18 Feb 2021 00:34 #76523
by tiska
Replied by tiska on topic Snow Watch 2021
One possible mechanism connecting wet summers to cold winters is the La Nina phase of ENSO which we are currently experiencing.
La Nina events are typically associated with wet summers over SA. A characteristic signature of La Nina is also colder than usual sea surface temperatures in the ocean basins surrounding Africa. The image below shows how unusual these temperatures are for the average of the strongest La Nina events since 1970 for the months April, May and June.
La Nina events lead to cool years globally. The oceans take up the heat from the atmosphere.
The image below shows how unusual sea level pressure is for the average of the strongest La Nina events since 1970 for the months April, May and June.
The high pressure system that usually dominates over the interior of SA in winter is shown to be weaker in these previous La Nina years. A strong high pressure system over the interior prevents snowfall events.
La Nina events are typically associated with wet summers over SA. A characteristic signature of La Nina is also colder than usual sea surface temperatures in the ocean basins surrounding Africa. The image below shows how unusual these temperatures are for the average of the strongest La Nina events since 1970 for the months April, May and June.
La Nina events lead to cool years globally. The oceans take up the heat from the atmosphere.
The image below shows how unusual sea level pressure is for the average of the strongest La Nina events since 1970 for the months April, May and June.
The high pressure system that usually dominates over the interior of SA in winter is shown to be weaker in these previous La Nina years. A strong high pressure system over the interior prevents snowfall events.
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Last edit: 18 Feb 2021 00:34 by tiska.
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18 Feb 2021 14:39 #76525
by ASL-Bivak#
Replied by ASL-Bivak# on topic Snow Watch 2021
that's an awesome blue colour... may it bring a f#&#ton of snow!
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28 Apr 2021 07:31 #76801
by JonWells
Replied by JonWells on topic Snow Watch 2021
As it stands, various weather models are suggesting that light to medium snowfall may occur on the peaks across the range mainly over Friday and Saturday. Forecast freezing levels are still relatively high, predicted to drop to 2900m in the South and 3100m in the north. Some models are also predicting a chance of heavy snow falling on the very highest peaks, which would begin as heavy rain on lower peaks before the colder air moves in. Hopefully by tomorrow there will be a bit more consistency in the varous model predictions, but its its encouraging to see some potential action on the way!
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02 May 2021 13:02 - 02 May 2021 13:05 #76829
by DanielJNaude
Replied by DanielJNaude on topic Snow Watch 2021
A photo taken by family yesterday.
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Last edit: 02 May 2021 13:05 by DanielJNaude.
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